Exxon Mobil Corp Stock Performance

XOM Stock  USD 147.28  3.69  2.44%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Exxon holds a performance score of 20. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Exxon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Exxon is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Exxon's maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Exxon's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Exxon Mobil Corp are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Exxon displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.44)
Five Day Return
(2.17)
Year To Date Return
20.08
Ten Year Return
78.76
All Time Return
9.2 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0273
Payout Ratio
0.578
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
4.12
Dividend Date
2026-03-10
 
Exxon dividend paid on 10th of December 2025
12/10/2025
1
Which Palm Beach County and South Florida Pizza Huts have closed
02/05/2026
2
Exxon Mobil Flags EU Methane Rules As Cost Risk For Valued Shares
02/11/2026
3
Exxon Mobil Shares Down 3.5 percent Whats Next
02/13/2026
4
Why Energy Stocks Are Rallying While Oil Prices Stall
02/17/2026
5
Asia-Pacific markets set to dip, tracking Wall Street losses, amid U.S.-Iran tensions
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow23.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-26.5 B
Free Cash Flow23.6 B

Exxon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,520  in Exxon Mobil Corp on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,208  from holding Exxon Mobil Corp or generate 27.85% return on investment over 90 days. Exxon Mobil Corp is generating 0.4235% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.6447% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Exxon, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Exxon is expected to generate 2.2 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Exxon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Exxon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 147.28 90 days 147.28 
about 5.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exxon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.69 (This Exxon Mobil Corp probability density function shows the probability of Exxon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Exxon has a beta of 0.27. This entails as returns on the market go up, Exxon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Exxon Mobil Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Exxon Mobil Corp has an alpha of 0.3139, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Exxon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Exxon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exxon Mobil Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
144.75146.40148.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.55153.35155.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
144.55146.19147.84
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
128.23140.92156.42
Details

Exxon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exxon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exxon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exxon Mobil Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exxon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
12.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Exxon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exxon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exxon Mobil Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exxon Mobil Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Asia-Pacific markets set to dip, tracking Wall Street losses, amid U.S.-Iran tensions

Exxon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exxon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exxon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exxon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments10.7 B

Exxon Fundamentals Growth

Exxon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Exxon, and Exxon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Exxon Stock performance.

About Exxon Performance

By examining Exxon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Exxon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Exxon is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 37.85  32.13 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.20 

Things to note about Exxon Mobil Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Exxon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Exxon Mobil Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exxon Mobil Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Asia-Pacific markets set to dip, tracking Wall Street losses, amid U.S.-Iran tensions
Evaluating Exxon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Exxon's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Exxon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Exxon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Exxon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Exxon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Exxon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Exxon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Exxon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Exxon's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Exxon's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Exxon Mobil Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Exxon's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Exxon's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Exxon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Exxon Mobil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Exxon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. Anticipated expansion of Exxon directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Exxon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Dividend Share
4
Earnings Share
6.72
Revenue Per Share
75.238
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Investors evaluate Exxon Mobil Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Exxon's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Exxon's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exxon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Exxon's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.